Konovalova Liliya Aleksandrovna
Girfanova Alsu Ildarovna

The purpose is to evaluate the possibility of a successful performance of the Russian national rhythmic gymnastics team at the XXXII Olympic Games in Tokyo based on the development of model indicators of age, technical skills and sportsmanship of the world's leading gymnasts.

The article presents a retrospective analysis of the age of achievement of the highest result by gymnasts who competed in the individual all-around at the Olympic Games from 1984 to 2016. The analysis of the dynamics of changes in the performance criteria of 7 leading world-class gymnasts at the official FIG competitions from 2018 to 2021 was carried out. Model indicators of technical skills and sportsmanship of the winner of the upcoming Olympic Games 2021 have been developed using linear extrapolation and least squares methods. The model indicators were predictive performance criteria: representativeness, reliability, stability, and growth rates of technical complexity. It was found that the performance indicators of Dina Averina are closest to the model of the champion of the XXXII Olympic Games in Tokyo. Averina A. (RUS), Ashram L. (ISR) and 4 Kaleyn B. (BGR) can also compete for the Olympic podium.

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